It’s constructed by aggregating a bunch of answers to different questions from both big academic surveys, like the General Social Survey and the American National Election Survey, and polls done by commercial pollsters. Stimson’s Policy Mood is an effort to measure what the public thinks about not one particular policy question but the overall approach to policy that the government ought to take. Policy Mood and the public opinion thermostat Indeed, as you can see in the table, a leftward shift of views is a predictable response to a Republican president being in office.īut of course we’ve had plenty of Republican presidents since 1961, so the record-setting nature of the current index is a noteworthy development with potentially big implications for the future - if Democrats can surmount the challenges of political geography. This is a reaction to President Trump, but it isn’t narrowly about his most distinctive characteristics. “Just slightly higher than the previous high point of 1961.” The public mood is increasingly liberal. “The annual estimate for 2018 is the most liberal ever recorded in the 68 year history of Mood,” he wrote.
He was sharing the news that the latest edition of Policy Mood, a composite look at American opinion across a range of polls on a range of issues, was available for public release. James Stimson, a political scientist at the University of North Carolina who’s one of the giants of American public opinion research, broke the news in a modest missive to a political science email listserv on June 6. Public support for big government - more regulation, higher taxes, and more social services - has reached the highest level on record in one of the most prominent aggregate surveys of American public opinion.
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